The selection criteria for projects required in
the short term for the power sector aim mainly at the following:
Irrespective whether Lebanon will receive its
natural gas supplies in dry form from Egypt through Syria, or in liquid form
through tankers that would discharge at a still unavailable LNG plant, the local
gas infrastructure should be constructed to reach the main power plants in
Lebanon, which include Deir Ammar, Zahrani, and the future plant, likely to be
situated in Selaata, where EDL already possesses a site.
The smaller and lower efficiency open cycle
plants in Sour and Baalbeck may continue to run on the higher cost diesel, but
their role as peak rather than base plants would be restored, and therefore
fewer running hours and less associated production cost would be encountered.
Assuming that gas is received from
1.
Deir Ammar: Infrastructure already completed,
and no additional works are necessary.
2.
Selaata: Infrastructure should be constructed up
to Deir Ammar, to allow Selaata to be supplied through the North.
And, for the longer term:
3.
Jieh: Infrastructure should be constructed, with
the following alternatives:
a.
Up to Selaata, to allow Jieh to be supplied
through the North
b.
Up to Zahrani, to allow Jieh to be supplied
through the East
4.
Zahrani: Infrastructure should be constructed, with
the following alternatives:
a.
Up to Jieh, to allow Zahrani to be supplied
through the North
b.
Up to
The above analysis
suggests that the links that should be constructed regardless whether the
upstream source is the North or the East are the Selaata – Deir Ammar and Jieh
– Zahrani ones. And construction of the former should be initiated in the short
term.
For the medium and long
term, Alternative 3a has preference over 4b mainly because it allows for the interconnection
of the whole nation with a centralized grid, thereby allowing convenient future
addition of an LNG plant once the need arises.
The construction of an
LNG plant, proposed in the immediate vicinity of the Selaata power plant, would
be considered if LNG international prices become competitive and/or if receipt
of dry gas were further delayed.
Noting that
approximately 1,000 MW of additional power is required in the short term, these
projects should include:
1.
Construction of the first phase of a new
combined cycle power plant, with Selaata being one candidate location
2.
Addition of generator and substation equipment
to Deir Ammar, thereby doubling its capacity
3.
Performance of basic rehabilitation to the Jieh
equipment in order to prolong their life
And, beyond 2010, the
main projects should include
The main projects related to the transmission
sector are completed or under completion. What still needs to be done includes:
For the short term:
And, for the medium and long terms:
For the short term, the first phases of the
following main projects related to the distribution sector should include:
And, for the medium and long terms, continuation
of the above projects should be pursued.
No externally funded projects are required on
the consumer end for the power sector. Gradual replacement of low voltage
meters may take place, but that should be internally funded through EDL’s
Operation and Maintenance Budgets.